Saturday, December 28, 2019
Crj100 Essay - 1312 Words
Assignment #3 Strayer University James Crews Introduction to Criminal Justice ââ¬â CRJ 100 Professor Michael Sherwin February 7, 2013 I think the most interesting part of the stages of a criminal trial is going to Trail. It is when things actually begin to take place in count and that is when the real judgment takes place. Nothing really matters until it is proven in court. By going to trail, it is basically the conclusion to the case, once it is over. Being found guilty or not guilty by the jury and/or the judge is where this happens. There can be up to nine steps in this criminal trial. All of which that leads up to the trail part of the criminal trial. It is found to have the most importance. The trail part of the criminal trialâ⬠¦show more contentâ⬠¦After the case went through trial sentencing takes place, which is if it goes that far. Sentencing is determined after the judgment. A convicted person may have the right to appeal the decision by a higher court and if finds a mistake that has taken place, then the court may reverse the conviction or go through the case once more. This is an example of a famous criminal case that has taken place in the United States: ââ¬Å"Born of an immigrant family in Brooklyn, New York in 1899, Al Capone quit school after the sixth grade and associated with a notorious street gang, becoming accepted as a member. Johnny Torrio was the street gang leader and among the other members was Lucky Luciano, who would later attain his own notoriety. About 1920, at Torrioââ¬â¢s invitation, Capone joined Torrio in Chicago where he had become an influential lieutenant in the Colosimo mob. The rackets spawned by enactment of the Prohibition Amendment, illegal brewing, distilling and distribution of beer and liquor, were viewed as ââ¬Å"growth industries.â⬠Torrio, abetted by Al Capone, intended to take full advantage of opportunities. The mob also developed interests in legitimate businesses in the cleaning and dyeing field and cultivated influence with receptive public officials, labor unions, and employeesââ¬â¢ associations. Capone gained experience and expertise as his strong right arm. In 1925, Capone became boss when Torrio, got seriously wounded in an assassination attempt,Show MoreRelatedMarketing Strategy Of Bombardier As A Canadian Based Public Company1459 Words à |à 6 Pagesgovernment owned airplane manufacturing company. Till yet, this is considered as the biggest corporate loss in the history of Canada. This was the turning point in the history of Bombardier. After that, Bombardier manufactured several planes such as CRJ100/200/440/700/900/1000. Its most popular planes are Global Express and Challenger business jet. As far as the railway segment of Bombardier, we can track that it started from the acquisition of Lohner-Rotax which was a Australian company. This Lohner-RotaxRead MoreDoc, Docx Pdf3690 Words à |à 15 PagesCengage Pearson Cengage Pearson Wiley Cengage Cengage Pearson Wiley Pearson Pearson Wiley Pearson Pearson Wiley Pearson Jones and Bartlett Free eChapters (FALL 2012) CIS530 CIS531 CIS532 CIS534 CIS539 CIS542 CIS552 CIS550 CIS558 CIS560 CIS562 CRJ100 CRJ105 CRJ180 CRJ220 CRJ310 CRJ320 CRJ330 CRJ410 CRJ440 CRJ475 CRJ475 CRJ499 ECO100 ECO101 ECO102 ECO105 ECO301 ECO302 ECO310 ECO320 ECO400 ECO405 ECO410 ECO450 Discrete-Event System Simulation 5th 10 ed. SERVICE ORIENTED ARCHITEECTURE 2006 Top DownRead MoreSkywest Case Study5493 Words à |à 22 PagesAmerican Eagle | -7.55 | 1,500 | 170 | 38/20 | Bombardier CRJ (47)Embraer 145 (118)Embraer 140 (59)Embraer 135 (21)ATR72 (36) | American Airlines | Mesa Air Group | 1.25 | 465 | 96 | 37/2 | Bombardier CRJ 900(38)Bombardier CRJ700 (18)Bombardier CRJ100/200(60)Embraer EERJ-145 (36)Dash 8-200 (16)Embraer Brasilia (2)Beechcraft 1900D (34) | United AirlinesU.S. AirwaysMidwest AirlinesDelta Airlines | Republic Airways | -5.30 | 1,500 | 48 | 27/1 | Q400 (3)Embraer 170 (18) | American ConnectionContinental
Friday, December 20, 2019
Communication Is The Key Component Of Social Behavior
It is known that society believes men to be more stable and rational in their actions and state of mind while women are believed to be emotional and irrational. Many people believe those qualities are biologically predetermined and it is a collective misconception that a personââ¬â¢s behavior differs based on their sex, when in fact it is based more so on their gender. To start off, look at the difference between sex and gender: ââ¬Å"Sex refers to the biological categories of female and male categories distinguished by genes, chromosomes, and hormones,â⬠ââ¬Å"Gender refers to the social categories of male and female (Helgeson, 2016, p. 3).â⬠With that said, the differences in social behavior are due to a personââ¬â¢s gender, not sex. Social behavior pertains to numerous different areas, but one area in particular is communication. Communication is the key component of social behavior because it is how a person interacts with the outside world, making it the defini ng theme of social behavior. Communication starts at birth when an infant begins to communicate what they desire by pointing. Children learn new things at high capacities everyday which allows them to evolve into communicative and expressive individuals. As children age, they begin to become aware of oneself and others. Carol K. Sigelman led a study titled, ââ¬Å"Gender Differences in Preschool Childrenââ¬â¢s Commentary on Self and Other.â⬠In this study, boys and girls at the preschool age were compared in the ways they interact with theirShow MoreRelatedFunctional Families : Components : Communication, Family Roles, And Problem Solving1518 Words à |à 7 PagesAnalysis of Three Components: Communication, Family Roles, and Problem Solving David Wilson Texas AM University Corpus Christi Introduction The structure of a family plays an essential role within a functional family. When analyzing family function there are numerous variables that define functionality, but the defining characteristics are those correlated to understanding the behavior and conflicts within the family. There are three types of structure that define the behaviors and conflicts withinRead MoreClassroom Implementation For Students With Autism Spectrum Disorder ( Asd )1216 Words à |à 5 Pagesbut also the institutions serving the ASD student population. Appropriate education practices offer all general education and students with disabilities ample opportunities for growth by utilizing various teaching style that support academic, behavior and social skills. There is a clear indication that general educators accommodate students with disabilities due to state mandated laws and the binding practices of IEPs. Consequently, minimal research exists regarding the academic success of studentsRead MoreThe Signif icant Principles of Management Communications2466 Words à |à 7 PagesResearch Paper: The Significant Principles of Management Communications Mia A. Rapier BUS 600: Management Communication with Technology Tools Instructor Cheryl Moore July 27, 2014 Itââ¬â¢s been understood that ââ¬Å"communication in business involves a complex set of unwritten rules governing speech, written correspondence and body language that varies in different parts of the worldâ⬠(Ingram, 2014). Communication is the essential component of business, ââ¬Å"from the entry-level manager to the seasonedRead MorePersonal Statement On Family Therapy1246 Words à |à 5 Pagestheory. The functionalist framework, Talcott Parson whose perspective on family is best understood by social systems. Parson divided up the social world into three parts which are cultural, social, and personality. The cultural aspect is composed of shared symbols and meanings; social is of organized social groups and institutions, and personality is species. Parson disputed that every social system needs to achieve a store of order or system equilibrium. He suggested that the basic and irreducibleRead MoreTeaching New Skills For Children With Autism Spectrum Disorder989 Words à |à 4 PagesIntervention (IBI) is an evidenced based and effective approach to understanding and changing behavior, and teaching new skills for children with Autism Spectrum Disorder. IBI uses Applied Behavioural Analysis (ABA) techniques to improve behaviour where there are impairments in socialization and communication. IBI can be used to teach academic and life skills, to change behavior, and to improve social functioning and independence. ââ¬Å"IBIââ¬â¢s ability to produce a desired result has been documented, andRead MoreWhat Causes Hearing Impairment1064 Words à |à 5 Pagesinformation from the outside world, communication usually become frustrated for hearing-impaired students when interact with their peer. They showed lower self-awareness, self-management, frustration tolerance and impulsivity in their characteristics. Therefore, it is common to see emotional and social behavior difficulties in hearing-impaired individuals. As a speech and language pathologist, who is going to work with hearing-impaired students in language and communication aspect and likely to be the onlyRead MoreOrganizational Culture Assesment1717 Words à |à 7 Pageswhich they reduced to 24 for a systematic review of what employees thought comprised a healthy workplace. The factors they discovered included collaboration, growth and development, recognition, engagement, empowerment, fairness, and skillf ul communication (Lindberg Vingà ¥rd, 2012). Beckhardââ¬â¢s (2006) list could be improved to include more focus on worker engagement, suggesting employee autonomy, involvement, growth, and justice. This would include tools and techniques such as teaching compassionRead MoreSocial Penetration Theory By Irwin Altman And Dalmas1511 Words à |à 7 Pages Irwin Altman and Dalmas introduces Social Penetration theory in chapter 8 and they explain the theory as ââ¬Å"the idea that relationships become more intimate over time when partners disclose more and more information about themselvesâ⬠(Littlejhon, 2002). This paper will showcase social media and how it relates to how individuals self-disclose in social penetration theory. A short history of social media and the direction itââ¬â¢s headed will also be included. Facebook, a platform has become a phenomenonRead MoreUse of Applied Behavior Analysis to Support Language Development in Children with Autism1508 Words à |à 7 PagesApplied Behavior Analysis (ABA) is the science in which tactics derived from the principles of behavior are applied systematically to improve socially significant behavior and experimentation is used to identify the variables responsible for behavior change. The definition of ABA includes six key components. The first component is the practice of ap plied behavior analysis is guided by the attitudes and methods of science inquiry. Second, all behavior change procedures are described and implementedRead MoreThe Added Benefits Of Cultural Awareness Training Essay1629 Words à |à 7 Pagesthat contribute to beliefs and behaviors fosters cohesiveness and improved communication among our own ranks. It helps leaders to more effectively influence and motivate subordinates. A better understanding of the three categories of cultural variation: behaviors, values, and cognition, assist leaders in effectively leading our own culturally-diverse military. Behavior Behavior is most likely the first thing an outsider would notice and observe about a culture. Behavior is how the people in a culture
Thursday, December 12, 2019
Amy tans free essay sample
Amy tans essay BY chikita1915 The article My Mothers English by Amy Tan is mainly about the authors thoughts and Judgments on her mother broken English in comparison to Standard English. Tan is a fictional writer who is fascinated by language in daily life (Tan 1) and uses language as everyday part of her work as a writer. Tans point in this article is to prove that even if her mother is speaking English! Others should not use that to judge your intelligence. Tans mother did not speak perfect English, but the points nd ideas she was trying to get across are what really were important. Tan observes some in paragraph two and three experiences that made her realize the different types of Englishes she uses. Tan illustrates this to her audience by giving examples of the struggles her mother was faced with due to her English. Tan examines the different versions of English people use for example Tan giving the example of letting her mother explain the story about the political gangster who had the same last name as [Amy Tans mother] which Tan explains the percent of how many people ere able to understand her mothers English and who could not, in order to make the reader realize that English takes many different forms which leads to difficulty and conclusion to those who are attempting to learn and speak the language like her mother. We will write a custom essay sample on Amy tans or any similar topic specifically for you Do Not WasteYour Time HIRE WRITER Only 13.90 / page This essay is directed towards those who do not have an understanding of the variations of languages and the complications that come along with trying to learn a new language like English. Although, this relates to me because English is my second language and Spanish is my native language, Tan gives us some main ideas n the article that are Just related to my daily life: treat everyone with respect, the power of language, and how children are influence by their parents, English. She emphasizes these ideas to mainly agree with her because now in these days many people are trying to learn and speak English. Sometimes most of us make mistakes by speak broken English. Matter or fact there is no one in this world uses the perfect grammar of English. I know this because since Middle School through high School all my English teachers said that no one would use proper grammar of English. Amy tan is suggesting her readers in this article that Just because some cannot speak the English language to perfection that does not make them less intelligent than someone who is born in this country and understands and speaks English fluently. Which she leads us to the major themes in her article, are those of identity, memory, and heritage of different Englishes. She writes about her feelings towards her mothers English, how she felt ashamed (6) and how she grew up with it. Tan developed her English much better, even though she was able to speak the language f intimacy (3) at home with her family and Standard English with the outside world. This experiences resonate with me because my Mom does not speak English very well and people from the stores, restaurants, and friends of her will make fun of her and she decided to give up but in real life she is really smart. Our English at home is differently than going to the outside world and talking to doctors office or well educated people. I have helped my mother to improve her knowledge of English because thanks to her I learn English very well because I went to an Elementary School where everyone speaks English all day long from that I force my self on to take me serious, and I help my mom to improve her English because I will never be ashamed (6) of my mother because I love her and I know she will speak it sooner or later not like at first Amy Tan though of her mothers English. I recommend this article to those whose English is their second language because Amy Tan provides a brilliant point. Her main point in this article is that we must respect and not Judge persons who speak different Englishes.
Wednesday, December 4, 2019
Scope of Demography Essay Example For Students
Scope of Demography Essay Demography, Scope, Perspectives and Theory J C Caldwell 1 November 2000 Demography: Scope, Perspectives and Theory John C. Caldwell Health Transition Centre National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health Australian National University Canberra The term ââ¬Å"demographyâ⬠has been widely used in English-speaking countries only from the mid -twentieth century. Earlier, ââ¬Å"population studiesâ⬠or, revealingly, ââ¬Å"population problemsâ⬠had been the common usage. There is still an inclination to restrict ââ¬Å"demographyâ⬠to the analytical methods used to analyze population data while employing ââ¬Å"population studiesâ⬠or ââ¬Å"population scienceâ⬠for wider subject matter covering, in addition, the causes and consequences of demographic change. Interest in the size and growth of populations is as old as the first state formations in the ancient Middle East and some attempts to count or estimate population numbers go back millennia. State strength was dependent on population numbers, especially those males of military age, and a good government was one under which numbers increased because of the suppression of violence and success in averting famine. There have long been attempts to place a figure on the number of deaths during severe epidemics. Censuses and the recording of deaths were carried out in some of the citystates of Renaissance Italy. Birth rates were treated as either constant or meaningless and little attempt was made to measure them until shortly before the recent fertility transition. Modern demography had to await the development of a scientific outlook and counts of population and vital events that were reasonably complete. These conditions began to be realized during the second half of the seventeenth century in Britain, where the Royal Society was founded in 1660 with two of the fathers of demography, John Graunt (1620-74) and William Petty (1623-87) as members. Graunt was a merchant and used bookkeeping principles to construct the first life table, drawing data on 2 ortality from the records of deaths in London, which had been compiled since the previous century. Petty described this activity as ââ¬Å"political arithmeticâ⬠(Kreager 1988: 134), a term regarded as being so appropriate by Lancelot Hogben that in 1938 he published a book under that title on the demography of contemporary Britain. Edmond Halley (1656-1742) constructed in 1693 a life table much closer to the modern model with more complete data on the deaths and population of the German city , Breslau. Kreager (1991: 209) identifies Graunt, Petty and Halley as the first persons to apply scientific principles to the study of society. All were consciously influenced by the work and scientific principles of Francis Bacon (1561-1626) and were well aware of the value of scientific laws as evidenced by the work of their fellow Royal Society member, Isaac Newton (1642-1727) in his Principia Mathematica (1687) (edited by and published at the cost of Halley). These demographic pioneersââ¬â¢ work bore the same characteristics as those of their successors today. . It was dependent on data having come into existence at the whim of others, usually governments, for other purposes (e. g. the London Bills of Mortality were a means of detecting epidemics, principally plague). 2. Much of the labor was spent not on making immediate deductions from the numbers but on suspiciously testing the da ta and trying to improve them. This central assumption that the raw data are almost certainly imperfect s ets demographers apart from most social, medical and statistical scientists. 3. Demographers are deeply sensitive to the fact that crude numbers or measures may be misleading, owing to such factors as the age and sex structure of the population, and they are given to devising measures that will overcome the distortions and allow valid comparisons. 4. There is a concept of a population, a large body of people constituting some kind of definable unit to which the measurements pertain. 5. That attention to large populations, often national ones, explains why demographic ââ¬Å"arithmeticâ⬠is political. Often, indeed, its practitioners wanted to gauge the health of the body politic and even to point the irection of improvement. Such policy involvement did not become controversial until the 3 twentieth century when controversy arose, first over focusses on migrants and differential fertility in response to the eugenic s movement, and later over research appearing to support the call for a curb on Third World fertility (cf. Hodgson 1983; Szreter 1993). 6. Demogr aphers are suspicious of the study of individuals and small groups, feeling that such persons are significant only when it can be shown what fraction of a larger population they constitute and even then that the fraction is of a considerable size. . Demographers look for regularities in populations or subpopulations and for contrasts between subpopulations: Graunt showed urban-rural differentials in mortality, as well as male-female differentials in both numbers born and subsequent mortality. 8. From the beginning there has also been an interest in causation (Graunt examined the causes of death), but there has, at the same time, been a suspicion that measures of causes were more likely to be in error than measures of population or death. 9. Until the nineteenth century in France and the twentieth century elsewhere mortality and population growth dominated demographersââ¬â¢ interests; fertility became of interest only when birth rates began to decline and the major concern only during the 1960s -1980s, when interest focussed on the beginning of fertility decline in developing countries (Caldwell 1996: 324). 10. Demography has always been an empirical discipline maintaining almost uniquely nineteenth-century positivist attitudes throughout the twentieth century. Most demographers have been happy to carry out analyses within a minimalist theoretical framework and have been deeply suspicious of disciplines which built theoretical structures upon unproven, theoretical bases (Caldwell 1996: 310-314). They have preferred intermediate or short -range theory to grand theory. 11. Nevertheless, the population field has also given birth to grand theory, associated with such names as Thomas Robert Malthus, Arsene Dumont, Frank W. Notestein, Thomas McKeown, Ester Boserup and Philippe Aries. They have set up frameworks which have consciously or unconsciously generated much of 4 the shorter-range research, and have made the subject known beyond its practitioners. 12. Once demographers had established the usual levels of mortality and fertility they became interested in change, especially once the demographic transition was under way. Modern demography has not only a population base but also a time dimension. There is hardly a major demographic study in the twentieth century in which change over a period (usually of years) is not important. 13. Demographers, in contrast to epidemiologists, are usually concerned with total mortality decline, and are suspicious of approaches singling out advances in treating specific diseases, and of any attempt to treat total mortality decline as the sum of individual medical breakthroughs. When they do trace mortality changes from one cause, they usually want to see what has also happened to mortality from other causes. On the empirical side, demography made only limited progress during the eighteenth century. The reason was the failure of national censuses or vital registration systems to appear. The foremost demographic thinker of the age was Johann Peter Sussmilch (1707-1767), who, in his search for the divine order (not very different from later concepts of the natural order, or from ideas embedded in the work of Adam Smith and Malthus), examined masses of demographic data searching for regularities, discerned the balance of births and deaths (later to be termed ââ¬Å"homeostasisâ⬠), and produced a life table which was used for actuarial purposes well into the nineteenth century (Schubnell 1959; Hecht 1987). Sweden set up a system of population registers in the mid-eighteenth century, mandated by a 1748 Act. This allowed Per Wargentin to produce the first data-based national life table in the world for the years 1755-57 (Dorn 1959: 437-438). The United States decennial census, necessitated by its constitution for electoral purposes, was first taken in 1790. Britain followed in 1801, and in 1837 the registration of births and deaths was made compulsory in England and Wales. 5 The stage was being set for the rapid growth of demographic studies in Britain and other parts of Northern Europe in the second half of the nineteenth century. The most important single body of research was that on differential mortality by socioeconomic class inaugurated by William Farr (1807-1883) in a supplementary report on the 1851 census and continued over six decennial censuses. Such work was not paralleled in the United States because of State responsibility for vital registration, with the result that the US Death Registration area, covering those states with satisfactory complete registration, expanded from 1880 until national coverage was achieved in 1933 for both births and deaths. Population registers, or, more commonly, the combination of censuses and registration systems, have remained the central mechanisms for studying demographic change. For contemporary studies they have been supplemented by sample surveys, facilitated by the computer revolution, and for historical studies by the painstaking examination and linking of parish church records, especially in France and Britain. In France and Geneva village studies have yielded data from as far back as the seventeenth century while E. A. Wrigley and R. S. Schofield (1981) have reconstructed English population history from 1541 to 1871. Demography has maintained its primary focus on population, births and deaths. All are definable within a fairly high degree of precision, a criterion about which demographers feel strongly. Interest has swung from mortality to fertility largely in accord with how the levels of each are changing. There has not been the same attention to health or morbidity. In fact, when demographers purport to write on health, most of their output is usually on mortality change. One reason is that these conditions cannot be defined exactly, a situation which has been worsened by WHOââ¬â¢s all-inclusive definition of ââ¬Å"good healthâ⬠. Another reason is the source of data. If demographers work alone through censuses or surveys, they must depend upon self diagnosis or the reporting of symptoms by respondents, and such reporting is often inaccurate and varies by such characteristics of the respondents as education. Surveys can sometimes coopt medically trained persons but diagnosis in the field is difficult and the employment of pathology testing usually limits the size of the survey. The alternative of using data from hospitals or doctorsââ¬â¢ surgeries goes far toward destroying the concept of a ââ¬Å"populationâ⬠which is basic to the way demographers see 6 the world. Similarly, migration has remained a specialist, and somewhat marginal, concern, even though, in an open population, it is the additional process to fertility and mortality that explains population change. There is no simple measurement, and indices of migration are affected by definitions of the number of movements to count and the distance and timing of movements. Marriage, too, has not been enthusiastically embraced, partly because definitions can be questionable. It has been employed mostly in the explanation of fertility levels, as in the Princeton European Fertility Project and in John Bongaartââ¬â¢s formulae. These procedures are simplest when nearly all fertility occurs within marriage as in the Princeton Projectââ¬â¢s work on historic Europe or in contemporary studies of much of Asia and North Africa. This paper will discuss the contribution of demographers to understanding demographic change and propounding theory based on those changes, mostly in terms of mortality, but there will also be passing reference to fertility. Demographic change Demographersââ¬â¢ interests and theories are dependent not only on data but on clear patterns or changes revealed by the data. Mortality data revealed two different kinds of phenomena. The first was a pattern of mortality differentials existing long before mortality transition and assumed to be stable. The British seventeenth-century investigators found differences in death rates by age, sex and urban-rural residence. During the eighteenth century, observers became increasingly convinced that there were also socioeconomic differentials: the poor, especially during early childhood, being more likely to die than the rich. It had also always been known that mortality evidenced periodic surges as epidemics or famines ravaged populations. Indeed, that was the original reason for attempting to collect death statistics. It was also known that these factors interacted: the fourteenth-century story-tellers in Boccaccioââ¬â¢s Decameron had left Florence to lessen their chance of being infected by the plague. Wrigley and Schofield (1981: end pullout) show that in England the great mortality peaks did not recur after the middle of the eighteenth century. This is not synonymous with mortality decline, and it was to be generations before there was 7 certainty about the existence of a secular trend toward lower mortality and higher life expectancy. In England life expectancy was fairly constant from 1826 to 1871 at just over 40 years, around 1. 5 years above the level during the first quarter of the century or the level in the late sixteenth century. There was no proof here of major change (Wrigley and Schofield 1981: 528-529). Greater change did come during the last three decades of the nineteenth century so t hat by centuryââ¬â¢s end life expectancy was 47 years and there was a realization that mortality was falling and an expectation that it would continue to do so. Neither Tom Paine, writing toward the end of the eighteenth century, nor Karl Marx, writing up until the early 1880s, saw a major mortality decline as an aspect of mankindââ¬â¢s future experience. In contrast, Alfred Marshallââ¬â¢s Principles of Economics, published in 1890, took the decline very seriously (Caldwell 1986a: 31). The mortality transition had, at least until two-thirds of the way through the twentieth century, certain striking characteristics. In Sweden, for which there is the longest series of reliable statistics, the marked declines occurred among the younger population, although they were by no means confined to infancy. By 1965 agespecific death rates among infants were six percent of the level in 1780, one percent among 1-4 year -olds, three percent among both 5-9 and 10-14-year-olds, ten percent among 30-34-year-olds but over 40 percent among those over 60 years of age (P. Caldwell 1996: 610). During this 185-year period both male and female life expectancies doubled, femalesââ¬â¢ expectancies remaining 6-7 percent greater than males, although, in absolute terms, increasing from 2. 5 to 4. 4 years. Alter and Riley (1989) claimed that in England morbidity rose as mortality fell, and offered a ââ¬Å"frailtyâ⬠explanation. Mortality transition is classically pictured as occurring decisively before fertility transition begins. In the West the picture is less clear than this. Except in France, and possibly the United States, marital fertility decline began in the last third of the nineteenth century. In England and Wales mortality fell by about one-sixth between 1870 and 1900 and so did the total fertility rate. Other Western countries were not dissimilar. It is clearer that fertility transition theory was to achieve a robustness that 8 mortality transition theory did not attain. Part of the explanation is that the fertility decline was seen as a solely behavioral phenomenon. By the 1970s a new stage in the mortality transition was becoming evident. It became clear that significant gains against mortality among older populations were being achieved (Myers 1996:87). In 1982 Lopez and Hanada (p. 218) looked at mortality change among populations over 60 years of age in developed countries, and, dividing each country into separate male and female groups, showed that in almost one -third of groups, the 25 years, 1950 to 1975, had witnessed greater mortality decline than the 50 years from 1900 to 1950. In Australia, Canada and Sweden a decline in mortality from heart disease was mainly responsible, but in Japan and France a greater decline was attributed to stroke. The two diseases explained around 80 percent of the decline in old-age mortality. Explanations were slow in coming, as were quantitative descriptions of what exactly was happening; Myers (1996: 110) commented: ââ¬Å"Whether this prolongation results from delayed onset of diseases or postponed case fatality is a major research issue facing demographers, epidemiologists, and health scientistsâ⬠. Attempts to gather demographic and other data on aging were quicker to start; the Duke, Seattle and Baltimore Longitudinal Studies began recording cohort experience in 1955, 1956 and 1958 respectively (Krausler and Krausler 1996). The final success of the mortality transition has aggravated but not caused the problem of high aged-dependency levels. The main engine in increasing the proportion of the aged has been the fertility decline. If we take the case of a representative English-speaking overseas-settlement country attaining a stable population structure at 1870 levels of vital rates and again at present-day rates, we get the following picture (calculations from Coale and Demeny 1966, West Model). In 1870 with a gross reproduction rate of 3. 0 and life expectancy at birth of 47. 5 years, then only 2. percent of the population would be over 65 years of age. If stable population structure were to be achieved at present levels, a gross reproduction rate of 1. 0 and life expectancy of 77. 5 years, 19. 0 percent of the population would be over 65 years. Four-fifths of the rise in the proportion of old population is explained by the 9 fertility decline and only one-fifth by the mortality decline. If fertility ha d remained constant over those 130 years but the same conquest of death had been achieved, the proportion of the population over 65 years of age would have risen only from 2. 8 to 5. 2 percent. None Provided8 Argumentative EssayNevertheless, the previous rise in life expectancies ranged only between 0. 24 and 0. 58 years per elapsed year, not particularly fast in comparison with other developing countries. The marked advances occurred after sulfa drugs, antibiotics, 17 DDT and new malaria prophylactics became available, and probably could not have occurred without them. The mass vaccination programs had not yet begun. But the advances did coincide with periods of radicalism when universal democratic health systems were established, even in urban slums and remote rural regions, with free or cheap services. Those involved gave great credit for the success to the eager, cooperative, educated clients. The paper showed that in countries like some of the oil producers, where much money had been spent on health facilities but where women were neither educated nor independent, similar health advances had not been made. In Sri Lanka, Kerala and Costa Rica, the universal health services were based on health centers or small hospitals. There was little in the way of high-tech medical services, but the services were not strictly primary health care in that they were centered on doctors and were largely curative. The conclusion was that the fastest mortality declines in contemporary conditions were achieved by a collaboration between the democratic provision of modern medicine and a populace that was educated and where women enjoyed considerable independence. A similar conclusion had earlier been drawn from a comparison of two areas in Nigeria (Orubuloye and Caldwell 1975). Later studies showed how more-educated women could gain for their children greater benefits from the health system than could lesseducated women (Caldwell et al. 1990b: 538-539). The stages of mortality transition Demographers had found it useful to divide the demographic transition into stages (Thompson 1929; Notestein 1945; Blacker 1947). Omran (1971) did the same for mortality transition, dividing it into three stages: (1) the age of pestilence and famine, prior to the transition; (2) the age of receding pandemics, as mortality fell cons istently with the reduction of death from infectious disease; and (3) the age of degenerative and man-made diseases, when mortality was dominated by heart disease, stroke and cancer. Although he wrote of the degenerative diseases replacing the infectious ones as if they were a new arrival, the central theme of his paper was really the conquest of infectious disease, with the result that most people lived longer with little else ultimately to kill them than degenerative disease. Fifteen years later, Olshansky and Ault (1986), followed by Rogers and Hackenberg (1987), furnished with new 18 American mortality data, added a fourth stage, that of delayed mortality from degenerative disease. The demographic approach: theory and analysis The foregoing discussion outlines some of the major demographic frameworks within which demographers work. Some of the theorists would not describe themselves as demographers, but all approach demographic change in an essentially demographic way, and not in a medical or epidemiological way. High demographic theory employs a broad population base and is usually concerned with changes in mortality and/or fertility over time. It usually starts with at least some empirical data but often then soars far beyond them. Nevertheless, demographers ââ¬â in contrast with many anthropologists, sociologists or even economists ââ¬â are usually apprehensive of building further pyramids of theory on existing theory. Their instincts are to substantiate at least part of the high theory by developing intermediate -range theories which can be tested empirically. Few empirical demographers do not somewhere in their papers make reference to some theoretical postulates. Some demographic analysis is so broad that it inevitably implies theoretical onstructs. In the mortality area there are studies such as Stolnitzââ¬â¢s (1955, 1956) ââ¬Å"A century of international mortality trendsâ⬠, Preston and Nelsonââ¬â¢s (1974) ââ¬Å"Structure and change in the causes of death: an international summaryâ⬠, and Prestonââ¬â¢s (1975) paper, ââ¬Å"The changing relationship between mortality and level of economic developmentâ⬠. What distinguishes these from most epidemiological papers is first that they usually deal with all mortality, even if they later subdivide by individual causes. Indeed, demographers often draw attention to parallel movements in the reduction of mortality from a variety of causes (e. g. Preston and Taubman 1994: 313), thus throwing doubt on the epidemiological analyses of the efficacy of interventions affecting a single disease. Secondly, demographic analysis tends to seek background or fundamental influences ââ¬â using social and economic data ââ¬â not on the individual but on whole societies. Thirdly, their population base is frequently the whole society. Finally, demographic and epidemiological papers tend to orient themselves to different audiences, as any glance at their respective journals shows. Demographic 19 studies are usually written by social scientists for social scientists, while the authors of most epidemiological papers have medical training. Epidemiological studies are the most population-based of all medical research, but nevertheless, they are not usually embedded in whole populations seen over long periods of time in their social and economic context. Attempts have been made to meld the demographic and epidemiological approaches. Perhaps the most successful was that by Mosley and Chen (1984) which they accomplished by using ââ¬Å"social scienceâ⬠and ââ¬Å"medicalâ⬠measures as different levels of explanation, the former as ââ¬Å"background variablesâ⬠and the latter as ââ¬Å"intermediate variablesâ⬠. Preston (1996: 535) has pointed out that demographers use ââ¬Å"quasibiological materialâ⬠, such as duration of birth-spacing, parity and age, but ââ¬Å"analyses with more biological data are not likely to be undertaken by demographers, nor published in demographic journalsâ⬠. Finally, does demographic theory have anything to say about the recent decline in old age mortality? The fact that heart disease and stroke account for about 80 percent of mortality decline, while cancerââ¬â¢s contribution is negligible (Myers 1996: 101), suggests that medical interventions should receive most credit. Yet the greater importance of a decline in stroke mortality in Japan and France, in contrast, to the predominant significance of lowered heart disease in Australia, Canada and Sweden, suggests that cultural and behavioral factors should not be ignored. Certainly the rising levels of education among the old, reflecting advances in schooling from the 1920s onward, must have had an impact. Preston and Taubman (1994: 284-287) reported that between 1960 and 1971-84 in the United States large educational differentials in mortality opened up among 65-84-year-olds (with differentials being negligible above 85 years). Males with the most education exhibited mortality levels only 58 percent of those with the least education while the figure among females was 66 percent. Furthermore, the differentials were similar for all causes of death (Preston and Taubman 1994: 290). Fogelââ¬â¢s (1997) work on nutrition among the very young may also be part of the explanation. 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